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hannibal and the second punic war
Date: Sun, 11 Feb 1996
From: Thompson
Subject: INQ: 3 Questions on Punic War II

I am reading :"Hannibal" by Ernle Bradford. I am listening to it unabridged on tape, so I don't have access to any index, maps, or statistics that may be included with this work. Without an index, it's difficult to go back to see if I have missed something important. I would appreciate any professional or amateur historian's views on the following questions I have about the above-mentioned work:

1) I would like to know the population of Rome (the city itself) during the time Hannibal's army was in Italy.
2) Bradford repeatedly mentions Hannibal's lack of a "siege train" with which to attack Rome. Why was he not able to procure this during the time he was in Italy, and would having this siege train have allowed him to subdue the city (in your opinion, I understand :-).
3) I recently read Barbara Tuchman's "A Distant Mirror" in which she says that when medieval sources give statistics, (esp. mortality statistics), they should be taken figuratively. If the source says, "50,000 people died of the plague in Such-and-Such city", we should take it as a very large proportion died, but not necessarily 50,000 because they did not reckon statistics the way we do. So......Re: Battle at Cannae. Are Livy (Polybius') statistics reliable? Did 50,000-75,000 Romans really die or is this figurative also? In other words, are ancient Roman sources reliable statistically?

Date: Mon, 12 Feb 1996
From: Jean-Michel David
Subject: Re: INQ: 3 Questions on Punic War II

On considere generalement que la population de Rome au moment de la deuxieme guerre punique atteignait les 200 000 personnes ou un peu plus. La question du materiel de siege d'Hannibal est une fausse question. Hannibal avait d'autres raisons pour ne pas se lancer dans cette aventure : la duree d'un siege, l'eloignement de ses bases de Campanie. Les chiffres que nous avons de cette epoque sont tres incertains. Malgr© tout Cannes fut une tres grande defaite qui entraina la destruction de plusieurs legions et corps d'allies et donc de plusieurs dizaines de milliers d'hommes. Bien a vous JM David

Date: Wed, 14 Feb 1996
From: David Meadows
Subject: 3 Questions on Punic War II

Boy ... I would have thought that people would be all over these questions by now, but I guess it's exam time and all, so in the calm before the marking storm I'll take a `professional' stab at it (on list; I'm sure others are interested in such questions):

>1) I would like to know the population of Rome (the city itself) during the >time Hannibal's army was in Italy.

Livy gives a number of census figures throughout his work as do numerous other folks and, the census of 234/3 lists there as being 270,713 Roman citizens -- this would be the adult males; when you add females, kiddies, and slaves (probably not numerous yet), you probably get a city of 3/4 of a million. Half way through the war with Hannibal, in 209/8, the number of citizens dropped to 237,108 (some manuscripts have 137,108, but that is too big a drop, even considering the damage Hannibal inflicted; probably a mistake by a scribe). More info on this sort of thing can be found in Brunt's *Italian Manpower*, although many of his figures are possibly a bit high for many scholars' liking.

>2) Bradford repeatedly mentions Hannibal's lack of a "siege train" with >which to attack Rome. Why was he not able to procure this during the time he >was in Italy, and would having this siege train have allowed him to subdue >the city (in your opinion, I understand :-).

Don't need an opinion; the facts will do -- a siege train is not just equipment, but also men to tend to that equipment, dig ditches, and the like. When Hannibal initially invaded Italy, he had hoped that numerous Italian cities would be more than happy to throw off the yoke of Roman oppression; unfortunately for him, the Confederacy held pretty solidly, except for a handful of Greek cities in the south after Cannae. The problem with those Greek cities, though, was that they had relied on Rome for protection for years and when they decided to defect to Hannibal, they really weren't skilled soldiers and they don't seem to have had the nerve to take part in a siege of a major city -- the logistics of besieging a city like Rome must have been very daunting (which is probably why Hannibal didn't do it -- I don't think Bradford catches on to this). The walled city itself would have been just the core; there would have been a considerable population living outside the walls -- it's very difficult to bring siege equipment to bear against the walls of a city if you have to wade (figuratively speaking) through blocks of houses and urban sprawl in general.

Did 50,000-75,000 Romans really die or is this figurative also? >In other words, are ancient Roman sources reliable statistically?

It strikes me that a very large number *did* die at Cannae -- the sources are Roman and there really is no glory in inflating the number of people the `home' side lost; more common is to inflate the number you yourself killed or were up against. As for the specific figures, they are suspiciously round (cf. the census figures, which do not end in 000) -- Livy and Polybius are probably guessing and are probably guessing on the basis of how many legions were present and how many people survived. It seems a reasonable range for a major disaster.

Date: Thu, 15 Feb 1996
From: "A.Keen"
Subject: Re: 3 Questions on Punic War

> the logistics of besieging a city like Rome must have been > very daunting (which is probably why Hannibal didn't do it >

I don't think Bradford catches on to this Not only can he not take Rome, of course, but he can also do nothing about the colonies; as a result, once the Romans decided not to fight him in set battles any more, they could operate against his allies and retire within fortified positions whenever he came near.

Date: Fri, 16 Feb 1996
From: David Meadows
Subject: Re: 3 Questions on Punic War II

The beauty of Fabius' strategy, of course, was that it, in effect, created a siege of *Hannibal's* army ... sure Hannibal was free to move about, but he didn't have control of the battlefield ... I don't think Bradford (or many other commentators on PWII) catch on to the importance of that from a strategic point of view.

Date: Thu, 15 Feb 1996
From: Chris
Subject: Re: 3 Questions on Punic War II

with regard to statistics, perhaps its worth mentioning that medieval copyists were quite capable of fouling the numbers up...was that a IIII or an M? chris

Date: Fri, 16 Feb 1996
From: Nick Nicastro
Subject: Fabius Schmabius

Fabius' strategy may have preserved the Roman army, and assured the loyalty of allies and colonies, but it did nothing to preserve the ultimate source of Roman power-- the land (or more specifically, the farmland). Basically, Fabius' strategy was the equivalent of barricading oneself in the bedroom while a burglar is free to ransack the house... I'm sure someone has already said this, but Fabius strategy didn't defeat Hannibal. Timely victories over relieving forces from Spain, along with lack of support from Carthage, assured that.

From: "A.Keen"
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius

Basically, Fabius' strategy was the > equivalent of barricading oneself in the bedroom while a > burglar is free to ransack the house...

Which when you know the burglar is going to beat the **** out of you given the chance is not such a bad idea, actually.

> I'm sure someone has already said this, but Fabius > strategy didn't defeat Hannibal. Timely victories over > relieving forces from Spain, along with lack of support > from Carthage, assured that.

Fabius might not have defeated Hannibal, but he prevented Hannibal's victory. Hannibal's strategy was to force Rome into high-profile engagements, defeat them, and hence demonstrate that Rome could not protect its allies -- result, Rome's allies desert her, and Rome is rendered incapable of threatening Carthage. But this would only work if the Romans played too. Fabius' strategy denied a quick victory to Hannibal, and Rome was able to show that Hannibal was unable to effectively protect those Italians who did join them. The Punic War was won in Spain, but it could have been lost in Italy -- though by the time Hasdrubal arrived it was too late; Carthaginian victory at the Metaurus might have prolonged the war, but it wouldn't have won it. Also, "lack of support from Carthage" oversimplifies -- as long as there was an active Roman presence in Spain it was extremely risky to divert troops from there to march to Italy, which is why it wasn't done until the situation was starting to look desperate (and Hasdrubal's march to Italy gave Scipio an easier time in Spain), and reinforcing Hannibal by sea was more or less impossible, since Rome dominated the Mediterranean.

Date: Fri, 16 Feb 1996
From: Nick Nicastro
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius

Of course, my last post oversimplified. But hindsight is always 20/20, and it is always intriguing to wonder what would have happened if Hannibal had had a few more victories, and a few more years, to consolidate himself in Italy. Yes, victory at the Metaurus River would not have won the war by itself-- but it might have given Hannibal the security, manpower and equipment to mount direct seiges of allied Roman towns. Only a few of those *might* have shaken a few more allies loose, which *might* have helped tip the balance in Hannibal's direction, which *might* have encouraged Rome to make an honorable peace that preserved some part of the Carthaginian empire. I agree, however, that without a coordinated effort at sea the Carthaginians would not have had a chance for ultimate victory. All these possibilities are what make this war particularly interesting, no matter how some authorities try to make it a foregone conclusion.

Date: Sat, 17 Feb 1996
From: David Meadows
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius

Basically, Fabius' strategy was the equivalent of barricading >oneself in the bedroom while a burglar is free to ransack the house...

To judge from the sources, the Romans had determined from the beginning to fight the Carthaginians pretty much in Spain and Africa -- the consuls for 218 had been assigned to Spain and Africa/Sicily before Hannibal had even crossed the Ebro. The Romans clearly did not feel their own territory was threatened and Livy makes it clear that Hannibal basically beat them to the punch when it came to entering Italy. Of course, the Romans would think their own superior manpower would win the day, but it didn't, especially against someone who was using tactics which the Romans weren't accustomed to an whose soldiers had a couple of decades' worth of real fighting behind them. Trebia, Trasimene, and Cannae were all a failure to the Romans because they were relying on `traditional' tactics. It took very unconventional thinking to prevent another Cannae from wiping out the rest of Rome's upper classes (and footsoldiers) -- For that Fabius must be credited. As for being the equivalent of barricading in the bedroom ... well, that's a cute analogy but it has nothing to do with Fabius' thinking. I personally believe that Fabius was following the methods which Pericles had used in the early years of the Peloponnesian war -- bring the people into the city and rely on the allies to keep one supplied. Operations in Spain and elsewhere were already under way. But Fabius had an advantage which Pericles didn't ... he had hundreds of towns and a very large square mileage that he could rely on. Hannibal can only cover so much ground -- at any one time it's really only going to be one person barricaded in their room while life is pretty normal in the other rooms of the house. But it goes further, while that someone is there, pounding on the door, you've got your own troops running up and down the halls taking a slice here, poking an eye there. Unconventional thinking .. that's what wins the big wars. >I'm sure someone has already said this, but Fabius strategy didn't defeat >Hannibal. Timely victories over relieving forces from Spain, along with >lack of support from Carthage, assured that. Fabius' strategy was part of the overall strategy which defeated Carthage; but Fabius did defeat Hannibal -- Hannibal's lack of success in Italy must be viewed as a major defeat, especially since he seems to have been such a talented general.

Date: Mon, 19 Feb 1996
From: Nick Nicastro
Subject: Fabius Schmabius II

Again, hindsight is usually pretty sharp. The reality was probably much more interesting-- for instance, it was certainly due to blind luck (and not a Roman fleet) that a Punic flotilla of reinforcements and supplies was lost in a storm in 205. Also, you're forgetting that Rome was able to forestall Macedonian intervention in the war (on the side of Hannibal, that is) by organizing a native Greek resistance league that preoccupied the Macedonians until it was too late. Neither of these things, which to varying degrees might have affected the outcome of the war, had anything to do with Fabius' Italian strategy.

> I personally >believe that Fabius was following the methods which Pericles had used in the >early years of the Peloponnesian war -- bring the people into the city and >rely on the allies to keep one supplied.

If this was in Fabius' mind, it's an odd choice considering the ultimate result of Pericles' strategy! .

Date: Mon, 19 Feb 1996
From: David Meadows
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius II


Again, hindsight is usually pretty sharp. This isn't hindsight ... The reality was probably much >more interesting-- for instance, it was certainly due to blind luck (and >not a Roman fleet) that a Punic flotilla of reinforcements and supplies was >lost in a storm in 205.

Luck often works its way into campaigns, but it rarely -- if ever -- decides them. One could say that Hannibal's little ruse with the cattle succeeded only because of "blind luck"; had Fabius not bought into it, Cannae probably would not have happened and Hannibal would have been stopped early. But this, as much as the impact of the Punic flotilla belong in the realm of "history what if?", not "history, what actually happened". You also seem to be ignoring the fact that the Romans in Italy did manage to deal with reinforcements -- in 206 Mago received reinforcements from Carthage, along with some members of the Boii -- Rome handled them. They had no qualms about fighting other commanders; it was Hannibal they decided not to fight (note the success the Romans had in the year after Cannae against other Carthaginian commanders in the south).

Also, you're forgetting that Rome was able to >forestall Macedonian intervention in the war (on the side of Hannibal, that >is) by organizing a native Greek resistance league that preoccupied the >Macedonians until it was too late. Neither of these things, which to >varying degrees might have affected the outcome of the war, had anything to >do with Fabius' Italian strategy.

I'm not forgetting that at all -- I've been trying to make the distinction between defeating Hannibal and defeating Carthage. Fabius was the person who was directly dealing with Hannibal. What Philip, despite his alliance, was doing in Greece had nothing to do with Fabius' strategy, save perhaps in hurting it by reducing the number of troops at his immediate disposal to follow Hannibal around. But it was also Fabius (I believe ... I can't find my Livy at the moment) who did all the disposition of troops in 215 which resulted in the victory at Nola, and also sent Laevinius to deal with Philip

>He went on: > >> I personally >>believe that Fabius was following the methods which Pericles had used in the >>early years of the Peloponnesian war -- bring the people into the city and >>rely on the allies to keep one supplied. > >If this was in Fabius' mind, it's an odd choice considering the ultimate >result of Pericles' strategy!

Why is it `lucky' that a punic flotilla was lost but not similarly `unlucky' that Athens was hit by the plague? Had there been no plague, the Athenians might have had success. I'm sorry if my words come across so harshly -- they aren't intended to. I'm similarly sorry if I engage in what seems to be post hoc rationalization. But considering my place in time I can *only* engage in such things -- I am not engaging in post hoc ergo propter hoc rationalization however, and just to make clear what I am saying, Fabius' strategy defeated hannibal insofar as Hannibal did not achieve his objective. Fabius' strategy did not defeat *Carthage*, but it did *contribute* to that defeat. dm

Date: Mon, 19 Feb 1996
From: Nick Nicastro
Subject: The Last of Fabius Schmabius

Yes, I agree the distinction between defeating Hannibal and defeating Carthage is a useful one in understanding Roman strategy in PWII. While the capacity of Carthage and her other commanders to defeat Rome was close to nil (due both to military and economic factors), through his own efforts Hannibal did put himself in a defining position. And yes, luck "rarely decides campaigns."-- but it does have a role. The joining of Hannibal and Hasdrubal would have had enormous strategic effect on the war in Italy, and part of the reason it didn't happen was a fortuitous interception of intelligence by the Romans, who were able to locate Hasdrubal early and defeat him before he met up with his brother. Yes, luck favors the prepared-- and Fabius's strategy was a sound one insofar as Rome couldn't defeat Hannibal-- and Rome's capacity to fight on several fronts was decisive-- but I just wanted to underline how much of a close-run thing this war was.
P.S. Mago invaded what is now Genoa, I believe. I don't know why he didn't join forces with Hannibal in Bruttium, but he might have made more of an impact if he had.

Date: Mon, 19 Feb 1996
From: John Murphy
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius II

>Also, you're forgetting that Rome was able to >forestall Macedonian intervention in the war (on the side of Hannibal, that >is) by organizing a native Greek resistance league that preoccupied the >Macedonians until it was too late.

I think this is not quite correct. I don't have any sources at hand but first of all I think the Greek resistance to Macedon had little to do with Rome until Cynoscephalae, after which Rome in her typical manner organized an allied league of Greek states dedicated to preserving their independence from Macedon. Second, and my memory may be playing tricks on me, didn't Philip V have an army ready to make the crossing of the Adriatic?

>If this was in Fabius' mind, it's an odd choice considering the ultimate >result of Pericles' strategy!

If you mean the plague, possibly although who could foresee or plan for an event like that. If you mean losing the war, Pericles' strategy had NOTHING to do with that. In fact, while Pericles sat behind the walls the Athenian navy was running rampant terrorizing the Peloponnesian (did I spell it right?) coast line. This in turn was giving Sparta's allied neighbors fits whereas Sparta could really do very little in return. Athens lost the war because they first gave up this strategy after Pericles death and then foolishly decided to take on another enemy as powerful as Sparta when they attacked Syracuse.

Date: Mon, 19 Feb 1996
From: "p.d. snider"
Subject: Hannibal Schannibal

Sorry, I couldn't resist the provocative title :). Besides, I thought it might be worthwhile turning the discussion on its head. Instead of trying to find the shortcomings of the Fabian strategy or defending that strategy, it is worthwhile thinking about Hannibal's strategy, its shortcomings and, then, we can look at why Fabius' strategy worked. I would suggest that Hannibal's strategy in invading Italy was based upon a basic strategic misconception. He assumed that Rome's control in Italy would collapse if Rome should be dealt a few really nasty defeats. Well, he did that and Rome's allies in Italy did not fall away, for the most part. Clearly, Hannibal did not recognize how far the Romans had managed to consolidate their power in Italy. Perhaps Hannibal's tactics would have worked in the First Punic War, but the Romans consolidated their power considerably in the interwar period. As a result, Hannibal made a strategic mistake on the same plane as Hitler's mistake in believing Russia would be a pushover. Now, I can see someone objecting, that, after Cannae, we do see allies fall away. Yes, we do and in a perverse way, this actually proves my point. Sooner or later, given enough hammer-blows, Hannibal could still have created dissension anong the allies. The aftermath of Cannae proves that. This is where the Fabian strategy was the perfect solution to the situation. Hannibal clearly was a tactical genius and there was no Roman commander, save perhaps Scipio Africanus, who could take him in pitched battle. The Battles on the Arno, Lake Trasimene and Cannae proved that abundantly. So, Fabius refused battle. By itself, that would be cowardice and passivity. However, instead, he dogged Hannibal to prevent him from establishing a base without the inescusable risk of allowing the Carthaginian army to be besieged, cut off from any relief. David Meadows image of a perambulating siege is an apt one and lays at the center of the Fabian strategy, which was to contain the threat. As David points out, the war was won in Spain, but it could have been lost in Italy. Lastly, let's do a simple cost-benefit analysis. For Carthage, what would the loss of Hannibal's army mean? The weakening of Spanish defences? By his very act of invading Italy, Hannibal diverted forces from Spain, and arguably made it easier to capture. What could she gain? A fatal disruption of Rome's power. Fair enough. For Rome, what would she gain by confronting Hannibal? The destruction of an army which was tying down considerable forces. Okay, that's good. But keep in mind that the invasion of Africa was made at the same time as Hannibal's tramping through Italy. Obviously, after Spain was subjected, Rome had enough forces to contain Hannibal and launch an offensive. What would be the cost of defeat? Another knock at Roman prestege and, ultimately, the undermining of her unusually loyal allies. My point is that Hannibal drastically underestimated the loyalty of Rome's allies, but he could still have won his point by continuing to knock the Romans around. Fabius' containment policy prevented these knocks at Roman prestege and prevented the likely result: the defection of the allies.

Date: Tue, 20 Feb 1996
From: "A.Keen"
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius II

Second, and my memory may be playing tricks on me, didn't > Philip V have an army ready to make the crossing of the > Adriatic?

No, this isn't right -- Rome was allied to the anti-Macedonian Aetolians fifteen years before Cynoscephalae. On the other hand Nick Nicastro's interpretation of Rome's distracting Macedon until it was "too late" is disingenuous, since if any one can be said to have "won" the First Macedonian War it was Philip, not Rome.

From: David Meadows
Subject: Re: Hannibal Schannibal

Something I've never quite been able to figure out about Hannibal is why he never managed to convince the Gauls to join his fight in a major way, especially after the `big three' -- there was that big thwarted invasion just prior to PWII, and the Boii and Insubres seem to have been involved in 218 -- then we don't really hear of any significant Gallic involvement in Italy until the turn of the second century. Perhaps the Gauls were too undisciplined for Hannibal's liking? Or did Hannibal think he had enough men of his own (why didn't he get Philip to provide him with mercenaries?). And another thing: why did he stay in Italy for so long at all? Sure, he might initially have figured he'd get some allies, but after five or so years it *must* have dawned on him that that wasn't going to happen. Why didn't he hit Italy in the old breadbasket and move his operations to Sicily (where the Romans would be forced to deal with him)?

Date: Tue, 20 Feb 1996
From: Javier Fuldain Gonzalez
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius II

If you mean losing the war, Pericles' strategy had NOTHING to do with that. In fact, while Pericles sat behind the walls the Athenian navy was running rampant terrorizing the Peloponnesian coast line. This in turn was giving Sparta's allied neighbors fits whereas Sparta could really do very little in return. Athens lost the war because they first gave up this strategy after Pericles death and then foolishly decided to take on another enemy as powerful as Sparta when they attacked Syracuse.

I am not so sure about the success of Pericles strategy. Of course, Pericles died in the second year of the war, and the war was quite balanced at that time, but i think his strategy was followed until the Nicias Peace. And I think the first strong hit against Athens was the Brasidas one, especially, Anfipolis. Brasidas showed the weakness of the athenian empire. At Nicias Peace there was no winner. Sparta had lost his prestige, but Athenas lost Anfipolis, that was the result of Pericles strategy. Sparta recovered his prestige after the battle at Mantinea. What about Athenas and An fipolis? On the other hand, is easy now (2.000 years later) recognice that the whol e war as one war. But the athenians were in peace with peloponnesians when decided the sicilian expedition. The war was over, and athens was back to his natural politics, empire and expansion.

Date: Tue, 20 Feb 1996
From: Nick Nicastro
Subject: Reply to Murphy

Second, and my memory may be playing tricks on me, didn't >Philip V have an army ready to make the crossing of the Adriatic?

Actually, I have checked the sources. Philip did have a mind to intervene, but was distracted by the strategy to which I alluded. To my flip remark--

>>If this was in Fabius' mind, it's an odd choice considering the ultimate >>result of Pericles' strategy! Murphy goes on--

> >If you mean the plague, possibly although who could foresee or plan for an >event like that. If you mean losing the war, Pericles' strategy had NOTHING >to do with that.

Actually, my comment was meant more as a joke-- though, imagining the scene, I can't imagine the Senate derived much comfort from the prospect that "we'll be just like Periclean Athens during the Peloponnesian war"...

Date: Tue, 20 Feb 1996
From: David
Subject: Re: Fabius Schmabius II and Pericles

You do Pericles' strategy a great disservice when you imply that it was ultimately responsible for the loss of the Peloponnesian War. That is simply not the case. What lost the Peloponnesian War was Athens' NOT following Pericles' strategy, and overextending herself with ill-conceived sorties that sapped her manpower and exposed her weaknesses to the enemy as well as rebellious allies. The only thing that beat the Athenians in the Peloponnesian War was the Athenians, and even weakened by two plagues and the Sicilian Disaster, as Thucydides reminds us, it took another eight years to exhaust Athens. I don't want to truck in "if"s and "could've"s, but it has to make you think. NB: Thucydides explicitly states that the Athenians departed from Pericles' strategy, so it seems unfair to blame a strategy abandoned while it was working for the loss of a war.

Date: Wed, 21 Feb 1996
From: Eric M Orlin
Subject: Hannibal's strategy

I think David Meadows raised an excellent point - why did Hannibal stay in Italy so long, and in particualr why did he not invade Sicily?? Given the importance of Sicilian grain and given that Carthage had held the Western part of the island for many more than the 20 years (the period which Rome had controlled them) this would seem to have been a logical move. In fact, I would argue that this was Hannibal's greatest strategic blunder. (The others might be excused on the grounds that just because a strategy fails does not mean it was a bad strategy.) The Romans seem to have been worried about this possibility - witness their decision to strengthen their links with Sicily by importing the Venus from Mt. Eryx in 217. The only suggestion I can think of right now, before consulting the sources, is that Carthaginian rule in Sicily was not remembered fondly. It is often said that Carthage lacked Rome's skill an integrating the regions she conquered into her state, so perhaps there was no love lost between the Sicilians and the Carthaginians. This would certainly account for his failure to cross the straits, but I don't know if there is any evidence to support this conjecture. eric orlin --

Date: Thu, 22 Feb 1996
From: Matthias Bode
Subject: Re: Hannibal's strategy

What is probably even more important: In order to get to Sicily he needed SHIPS. The Carthagian Empire had lost some of it's sea power in the process of becoming a land-power in Spain. Only in the desperate need of the "Romani ante portas" in Carthago, the city managed to get him back. Or did I miss something? By the way: Hannibal and Fabius both practised a tactic which consisted mainly of the destruction of the enemies infrastructure. Within a few years, both had managed to destroy the Mezzogiorno back to the Stone Age. (The region is improving since the middle of the 20th century thanks to funds from the European Community). Hannibal did not have the resources (manpower, food, wood) to stage an invasion of Sicily.

Date: Thu, 22 Feb 1996
From: "A.Keen"
Subject: Hannibal's strategy

He couldn't just wade across, you know. In order to get to Sicily he need a port, in which he was constantly frustrated. Even if he had a port, a long journey by sea would have exposed him to threats from Rome's navy, so the ideal port would have been Rhegium. He did try; Bruttium was brought over, and Rhegium was more-or-less isolated and dependent upon support from Sicily. But it didn't fall.

> The only suggestion I can think of right now, before > consulting the sources, is that Carthaginian rule in Sicily > was not remembered fondly. It is often said that Carthage > lacked Rome's skill an integrating the regions she > conquered into her state, so perhaps there was no love lost > between the Sicilians and the Carthaginians. This would > certainly account for his failure to cross the straits, > but I don't know if there is any evidence to support this > conjecture.

Given that Hiero of Syracuse revolted from Rome to join the Carthaginian side, precipitating several years of hard struggle, I don't think its true to say Sicily was inherently anti-Carthaginian.

Date: Fri, 23 Feb 1996
From: David Meadows
Subject: Re: Hannibal's Error

While I can't say that I disagree with most of what's written here, I still wonder why Hannibal didn't hit Sicily. All he would need ships for would be to get there. He wouldn't actually have to conduct naval warfare -- you don't need ships to burn crops and ravage country sides. I'm not sure what the level of slave labour was in Sicily at the time (it might be a bit early for this), but he possibly could have incited a slave revolt. On the other hand, the Romans did commit a fair number of soldiers to the Sicilian theatre from the start so crossing over (from Italy, at least) might not have been in the realm of possibility at all -- but we are talking about *Hannibal.*

Date: Thu, 22 Feb 1996
From: Nick Nicastro
Subject: Hannibal and Sicily

This would >certainly account for his failure to cross the straits, but I don't >know if there is any evidence to support this conjecture.

This is an interesting point. As I wrote to Mr. Meadows, there may have been additional reasons-- first, that the physical crossing of the straits was not necessarily an easy thing, especially with a prepared enemy that dominated the seas (witness the trouble, later, when Octavian tried to dislodge Sextus Pompey from Sicily); second, Hannibal may have wanted to preserve the option to *feint* an attack on Rome itself, as he actually did when his brother Hasdrubal entered Italy. An expedition to Sicily would have damaged Roman economic and territorial interests, but it would also have taken the immediate pressure off the capital.

Date: Fri, 23 Feb 1996
From: David Meadows
Subject: Re: Hannibal's strategy

>He couldn't just wade across, you know. In order to get to Sicily he >need a port, in which he was constantly frustrated.

Well Capua or even Tarentum (the finest harbour in Italy) surely would have done, no?

Date: Sat, 24 Feb 1996
From: "Fernando E. Lamas, M.D."
Subject: Hannibal's Sicily strategy

Recent postings have explored the reasons why Hannibal did not invade Sicily.The logistical difficulties resulting from the inferiority of Carthaginian sea power at the time have been stressed. I fully agree with the difficulties imposed by naval inferiority. However, they do not explain why an attempt was not even made if a commander of Hannibal's caliber should deem it necessary. In later times, Caesar crossed the Adriatic in the face of Pompeian naval superiority. In my opinion, Hannibal considered Sicily a strategic dead-end that had been beaten to death during the First Punic War. Vast amounts of Carthaginian resources had been invested in Sicilian operations during that war with no final victory to show for it. Hannibal's father, Hamilcar Barca, spent the waning years of that war (247-243 B.C.)conducting inconclusive guerilla raids from fortified strongholds that accomplished nothing except to give Rome time to recover from earlier losses. During the American Civil War,Grant realized that victory was not to be found in capturing a geographic objective such as Richmond but, rather, in bringing Lee's army to battle and breaking it's back. Hannibal had the same strategy. In view of the incredible tenacity demonstrated by Rome after defeats that would have vanquished lesser nations, Hannibal knew that any hope of a final victory lay in another Cannae on the Italian mainland. Final victory was not to be found by investing limited resources in the Sicilian bottle that had trapped his father.

Mon, 26 Feb 1996
From: Julia Megan Rosalez
Subject: Re: Hannibal's Error

While I can't write fluently along the lines of Hannibal, slave labor was at a very high level in Sicily - it began when the Greeks controlled the island (officially admitted to anyway). Also, even though there were Roman soldiers on the island, Sicily was only considered for its value regarding wheat - the Romans did not rule the island with, how shall I say, enthusiasm. Along the lines of military occupation, there were really garrisons on the island and not large amounts of troops. Afterall, the Romans acquired Sicily through a political and military agreement, making the island the first Roman "province". The people of the island were basically left on their own; the Romans took no interest in island affairs unless the shipments of wheat and tribute were disrupted in some way..

Date: Wed, 28 Feb 1996
From: David Meadows
Subject: Re: Hannibal's Error

>Also, even though there were Roman soldiers on the island, Sicily was >only considered for its value regarding wheat - the Romans did not rule >the island with, how shall I say, enthusiasm. Along the lines of military >occupation, there were really garrisons on the island and not large >amounts of troops. Afterall, the Romans acquired Sicily through a >political and military agreement, making the island the first Roman >"province". The people of the island were basically left on their own; >the Romans took no interest in island affairs unless the shipments of >wheat and tribute were disrupted in some way.

This post tweaked something in the old noggin', so I was basically forced to think a bit harder on this and when I took Peter Garnsey's Famine and Food Supply off the shelf, I was pretty much forced to disagree with myself. It would appear that Hannibal did not go for Sicily because, at the time, there was no need to. Rome was not yet dependent on Sicily as a supplier of grain .. Italy was still a sufficient supplier. In the early phases of the war, Hiero of Syracuse did make a number of contributions of grain to Rome as a gift in response, apparently, to crises, but there does not appear to have been a regular traffic of Sicilian grain to Rome yet -- apparently grain collected by taxes was pretty much consumed by the garrison scattered over the island. The Syracuse connection is important because most of the really productive land in Sicily was apparently controlled by it. In 215, Hiero -- the long loyal ally of Rome -- kicked the old krater and his grandson Hieronymus succeeded him -- he was but a teenager, but perhaps most importantly for the current discussion, he also switched sides. It was only after PWII that Syracuse and Sicily in general were turned into a major tribute paying province by which grain came not in the form of gifts but annually as tribute. So the upshot is, Hannibal probably didn't feel he *had* to go for Sicily, especially once Hiero was out of the picture. And of course, after PWII, Rome had access to the grain of Sicily, Africa, and was on friendly relations with Numidia (another big time grain operation). What's interesting in all this, though, is that even with Hannibal obviously ravaging the Italian countryside, we don't hear of any shortages of grain in Rome except in 211 -- Livy says nothing on this, but Appian and Polybius both seem to refer to this year as being a year when there was a shortage of grain in Rome (with the usual rise in prices -- no apparent riots, though) primarily because there were wars in all parts of the world where Rome might get grain from (the exception, apparently, being Egypt, whence, presumably Rome managed to get some supplied). After that, production in Italy apparently was still rather meagre until they brought the Magna Mater to Rome, at which time Italy had the greatest harvest it had in a long time (according to Pliny the Elder). All this does, however, is reinforce my earlier statement that Fabius' policy was basically an adaptation of Pericles' strategy, only in Rome's case, it seems to have worked. She never was completely cut off from her suppliers and while she does seem to have been hit by epidemics of some sort (208, 205), it does not seem to have affected those who were carrying out the strategy.
Culled from the UMich archive of ancien-l.
Copyright © 2001 David Meadows
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